Before moving to Israel he was as an economist in the UK government. So what are we to conclude? Major important crashes in the stock market are correlated with the Shemitah years. Similarly, if someone bought a plot of land, then at the Year of Jubilee he would be required to freely return the property to its original owner (at no charge). But in practice, most of us, including eminent economists, forget. You shall eat its crops out of the field. Ive created an indicator that can help traders and investors analyze the Shemitah year on various charts in Trading View. Thousands of years ago, before Israel first became a nation in the Middle East, while they were still in the wilderness of Sinai after the Exodus from Egypt, Moses received from God a series of laws and guidelines for the Jews to live by, especially once they entered the Promised Land. Its a year ending in 2 and a Shmita year on the Jewish calendar, both of which have been associated with far below average stock market returns. Unfortunately, some conclusions based upon Biblical cherry-picking often result in ideas that become so popular that overcoming them with real data is difficult. We are coming into a new Shemitah year. "But the seventh year thou shall let it rest land and that which was built up was wiped away. God commands rest on the seventh day - Sabbath. Well, that was my two satoshis on the upcoming shemita.. For meg om meg, se https://dagruneflaaten.com/. February 27, 2023 12:09 pm EST. United States enters WWI. The Shemitah is thus a radical concept that has no parallel among the nations and economic systems of the world. Maybe nothing goes down on that day. Whats different this time, is the number of things that are affected by the ongoing crisis. he does point out one remarkable fact: the final day of both of the last two shmita years saw two of the three largest falls in history (measured in points not in per cent) of the US stock market. Many other laws also have a universal connotation. OK, the electricity bill is a pain in the ass, so a few posts on social media about that, many join a Facebook-group demanding a maximum price for petrol or some other commodity. As we saw for the downturns in the Dow Jones Average, there is an observed Shemitah Effect for some increases in the unemployment level, but not for all of them (correlation is 5 out of 10 or 50%). You may wonder how Israel could ever eliminate a year of planting and not run out of food, because the effect of the Shemitah would actually result in at least a 1.5-year interim between harvests. A decade ago, Mike Maloney made an effort to explain it all through a series called Hidden Secrets of Money. However, we need to be cautious not to conclude anything with regard to the statistical significance of this result, because there are also negative data points within the graph. If you make a sale, moreover, to your friend or buy from your friends hand, you shall not wrong one another. After falling about 50% in 2022, Nvidia 's (NASDAQ: NVDA) share prices . In the wake of the last crash, leading economists such as Nobel Prize winners George Akerlof and Robert Shiller have picked up on Keynes long-neglected insights and developed the field of Behavioral Economics, explaining how quirks of human psychology can help explain the persistence of economic cycles, and much else. 1916-1917 Shmita Year - 40% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. William Delbert Gann was a trader and analyst famous for making use of time cycles into his analysis. Another important release that would take place at the end of every Shemitah year was described by the prophet Jeremiah. We know that this is true, at least in theory. There is another concept related to the Shemitah that is also vital to understand. So what makes this Shemitah cycle so interesting? Introducing shmita, the Torah suggests that there is a seven year cycle of economic activity: Six years shall you sow your land and gather in your yield; but in the seventh year you shall let it rest and lie fallow. (Exodus 23) Then immediately it repeats the idea of Shabbat: Six days you shall do you work, but on the seventh day you shall cease from labor. Perhaps 2022, the next Shmita year, will have some upheavals. Been looking for this thread. For the non-Shmita years, the average return is 9.0% (16.5%), but for the Shmita years, it is an average loss of -2.4% (22.7). Risk Disclaimer & Terms of Service You shall thus consecrate the fiftieth year and proclaim a release through the land to all its inhabitants. Vis flere innlegg. The implication is that just as there is a rhythm to the work week whereby activity needs to be punctuated by periods of rest, so too, a parallel rhythm pertains over a seven year cycle; we need periods of rest and renewal. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Of course the stock exchanges are experiencing problems, but most of the newly printed money end up in the exchanges, thus preventing the logical drop. There are many sources of economic data that can be found to map out the recessions or depressions in the worlds economy, including information related to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as well as the booms and busts in the stock markets or bond markets, the increases and decreases in currency values, or the rise and fall of unemployment. This 1.5-year delay occurs, because crops require the wet winter months in Israel to grow and are generally harvested in the springtime or early summer. Sukkot, Shmita and a stock market crash? However, the historical hit rates arent high enough to justify running for cover if you have no other fundamental stock-market worries. We are in a high-inflationary environment and a dysfunctional legislative branch. The Shmita year starts every 7th year on Elul 29 on the Biblical Calendar on the Feast of Trumpets. Tusen takk til dere som hjalp oss!Dere kom som sendt fra himmelen! Jonathan Cahn in his book The Mystery of the Shemitah maps out a number of major economic disturbances to recent Shemitah years; however, he leaves out any discussion of Shemitahs that didnt correlate to stock market downturns and he also leaves out downturns that didnt correlate to any Shemitah years. THIS IS JUST ENTERTAINMENT!This information is what was found publicly on the internet. This is what he wrote in Exodus: You shall sow your land for six years and gather in its yield, but on the seventh year you shall let it rest and lie fallow, so that the needy of your people may eat; and whatever they leave the beast of the field may eat. Now, Im nowhere near as confident as Mr. Cahan that the God I believe in talks to humankind through dives in the Dow Jones. To do so, you just have to make better decisions than most others. We are in a high-inflationary environment and a dysfunctional legislative branch. If Israel followed God in these things, then the Shemitah would bring a great benefit and blessing; essentially providing for each farming family a full year off every seven years from cultivating, planting, and harvesting. Towers symbolize a nation's power and pridethis connection can be seen from the very first However, the Shemitah years represented by 1951-1952, 1958-1959, 1986-1987, 1993-1994, and 2014-2015 all occurred during times of low unemployment and with no subsequent rate increases. Shemitah, the last year of a seven-year cycle in the Jewish calendar, has several times in the past brought immense financial hardships to the world. Many societies throughout history have used crop rotation to overcome this effect, and even today it is a recognized and important aspect of farming in order to maintain optimal soil composition. Adrian Zenz performed a more rigorous statistical analysis of the Shemitah Effect in a paper published in August, 2015 (see http://bit.ly/1LNdeKE). During prosperous times economies grow rapidly and easily get out of balance until something breaks, causing a domino effect throughout the economy, and leading to a recession or a depression. The observance of the Shemitah was meant to be good for Israel and for the Jewish people, because it was another time of rest built into their lives by the Lord. In Leviticus we are given more information about this principle: The Lord then spoke to Moses at Mount Sinai, saying. Despite these promised benefits that the Shemitah and Jubilee observances would bring to Israel, it was unfortunately rarely if ever followed during the years of the First Kingdom and the First Temple period. Please contact us in case of abuse. The ecclesiastical calendar is used to keep track of special feast days and high holidays. This was a On January 6th, I published my Predictions for 2022, where I wrote about a financial crisis, much worse than the one in 2008. Since he used every major upturn and downturn in the stock market, bond market, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the analysis, his conclusions were that there was very little statistical significance of the Shemitah Effect on these indicators. Its going to be a very bumpy year until Sept 24-27 already look at the signs very volitale market, supply chain on last thread, oil prices through the roof ( US cannot sustained price of oil over $100 ) they are predicting $150-175 barell, famine in Africa, major drought in 3/4 of US . . Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk and there can be no assurance that any specific investment will be profitable or not.Reppond Investments, Inc. does not make any guarantee that our strategies will or are likely to achieve returns like those shown in the performance graph in this presentation. U.S. Voted to Seeing that the Shemitah Effect includes a year-long event related to the cessation of the agricultural market and an end-of-year effect related to the remission of debt (end-of-year in the Jewish Civil Calendar being in the September-October time frame in the Gregorian Calendar), if there exists any broader impact on the worlds economy this might be reflected in economic downturns during and immediately after these periods. This happened to be a Shemitah year. In fact, since 1950, the. The prideful building of the Tower of Babel brought judgment. As you might expect, the occurrence of a super-Shemitah produced significant effects on the economy and on every Jewish citizen of Israel. 1916-1917 Year of Shemitah - Stock market drops 40%. ET. U.S. lost its first war - Vietnam 1916 1917: Stock market drop 40% and many European countries are suffering an economic collapse. Note: In that same chapter of Deuteronomy quoted from above, the Lord permitted Israel to loan money to foreigners without remission of the debt at the end of the Shemitah; only debts between Hebrews were to be forgiven every seven years. There is always some rational, well-grounded economic reason why the current boom whether in South Sea stocks, internet companies or residential real estate will go on for ever and ever. Since God is the true source of all that we havefood, material goods, property, money, and everything elsea cessation of work forced the people into a time of complete faith and dependence on Him. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. The seventh year is meant to be a reset, a return to the real values that underpin our increasingly frantic efforts. She said it was the last year of a seven-year cycle according to Jewish legend. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. The Shemitah cycle is not the only cycle you can use for price predictions in Bitcoin and the stock markets. The cycles of the Shemitah and Jubilee releases would therefore continue to smooth out the ups and downs of the economy and reduce the extreme differences between the rich and poor. You shall have the fiftieth year as a jubilee; you shall not sow, nor reap its aftergrowth, nor gather in from its untrimmed vines. As of Nov. 29, the S&P 500 is down a more modest 16.75%, but still. The worlds incessant drive for nonstop growth, greater revenues and profits, and more and more material things does not allow a year of rest for the land or a remission of debts or a release of slaves. Ben Reppond(406) 871-3321ben@reppondinvestments.comLearn how we manage money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m4IdPxtjBYo\u0026t=3220sInstagram: @benreppondBloomberg https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hA3IkauON4CNBC Joe Kernanhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BlmLyfx5tcECNBC Scott Wapnerhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nb1cGFjXXtYJonathan CahnThe Mystery of the Shemitahhttps://www.amazon.com/Mystery-Shemitah-Updated-000-Year-Old-Future/dp/1629994707Produced By http://www.thepyrostudios.comDISCLOSURESThis presentation is for informational purposes only and is not an offer of or solicitation of advisory services. Various charts in Trading View an economic collapse year was described by the crisis. The UK government to understand make better decisions than most others, will have upheavals. To Jewish legend takk til dere som hjalp oss! dere kom som sendt fra himmelen no. 1916 1917: Stock market are correlated with the Shemitah that is also vital understand. 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